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Estimate Accuracy (Story Point Correlation) for Azure DevOps

avtor: Thrivve Partners

A free Power BI template that measures the correlation between Story Point estimates and Cycle Time.

Estimate Accuracy (Story Point Correlation) is a free, ready-to-use Power BI template designed to challenge the assumption that Story Points are an essential or reliable part of agile delivery. By connecting directly to your Azure DevOps, Azure DevOps Server, or TFS data, it shows how strongly (or weakly) Story Points actually correlate with real delivery outcomes such as cycle time. The report visualises correlation clearly, helping teams understand whether their estimates provide meaningful predictive value or simply add overhead. It supports more evidence-based conversations about estimation, predictability, and whether Story Points are helping or hindering effective delivery.

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